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The toy shelf
[playful page] Toys, not tests. They run in your browser and send nothing anywhere.
First time on the shelf? The four cards take one minute and fool most people.You keep coming back (visit 3 by your browser's count). The line judge rewards patience. It is the middle of the night where you are; tiredness slows reactions and blunts attention, so go easy on the reaction box's verdict.
under construction
Anchoring. We wanted a seventh toy for anchoring: an arbitrary number shown first pulls a later estimate toward it (Tversky & Kahneman, 1974). It is not here because it would be dishonest as a one-person toy. The effect shows up as a difference between groups given different numbers, so a single visitor making one estimate cannot see it in themselves. If we find a fair way to show it, it goes up here.
Your visit count:  Sources - Tversky & Kahneman (1974). Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Science. doi:10.1126/science.185.4157.1124
see also
 | research — the hub this shelf belongs to |
 | the staircase — a longer experiment you can run on yourself |
 | Hans — a counting horse, of sorts |
 | glossary — the words the toys use |
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